Team Canada & CUSMA

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Background

In 2017, the Trump administration notified NAFTA parties of its intent to renegotiate North America’s continental trade agreement. This launched a multi-year, fast-tracked trade negotiation for one of the most integrated trade areas in the world. The resultant agreement, the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), adds new provisions  to the NAFTA framework while maintaining others.

Continental trade is meaningful for each party involved, but it takes a special meaning to Canada. Canada is highly reliant on the North American market and (stable) access to the United States is intimately tied to its economic prosperity. Yet, continental trade is more than tariffs and non-discrimination for Canada. Continental agreements are watershed moments for Canadian policy-making. Continental trade constrains governments while deepening path dependency. As a middle-power, codified rules are attractive precisely because they constrain state powers. But this sacrifice of authority is costly, particularly as trade treaties introduce avenues for new (foreign) private actors to integrate, centralize and influence markets and policy.

Historically, continental trade has been controversial in Canada. The original FTA was hotly contested. While public opinion today largely favours trade treaties, particularly in Canada, public objections to trade remains. Populist rejections of deep globalization join a chorus of left-leaning critiques of trade-as-is. Together, these voices have lamented the mission creep of a trade order with debatable results for the working class. Their calls for re- and de-globalization are amplified by a series of economic, racial, and health crises. Though this – at times tense – coalition does not always find representation among political elites, the CUSMA negotiations bucked this trend. The Trump administration was notionally willing to play to these forces.

All this to say, the CUSMA was a critical moment for continental North America. Framing North America as a continental regime, this project interrogates the pretext and context of NAFTA’s renegotiation. In particular, it seeks to understand how Canada mobilized to (re)shape the continental regime. Faced with a desire to render globalization inclusive while preserving rules-based institutions, ‘Team Canada” had a lot on its plate. 

Key Empirical Puzzles


How, if at all, has North America changed under CUSMA?

To what degree is CUSMA ‘NAFTA 2.0’?

Why did Canadian civil society come together under ‘Team Canada’? What were their incentives

Research Design

This project is comparativist, case-oriented and interpretivist. It is comparativist in that it analyzes units of analysis alongside each other to assert causal processes and draw conclusions. It is case-oriented in that it distinguishes observations from cases. Cases are explored with depth, holding numerous observations over time. It is interpretivist in that it treats sources and materials contextually. Trade agreements, for instance, are to be interpreted alongside their context.  

1. Casing

This project incorporates both spatial and temporal comparisons. While its units of analysis will vary on the output, the dissertation compares continental North America as a regime over time. The thesis also compares government trade policies during the negotiations (spatial), Canadian trade policy over time (diachronic), and interest group activity (spatial)

2. Data Collection

Interviews with interest groups, bureaucrats, and politicians; Committee evidence; Media hits; Second-hand accounts (news stories); Government documents; Macroeconomic statistics; and Trade agreement content analysis.

3. Data Analysis

This project incorporates both spatial and temporal comparisons. While its units of analysis will vary on the output, the dissertation compares continental North America as a regime over time. The thesis also compares government trade policies during the negotiations (spatial), Canadian trade policy over time (diachronic), and interest group activity (spatial)

Recent Output

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Buy Canada Paper

I wrote a paper on Canadian attempts at social procurement for the Progressive Economics Forum 2023 Graduate essay contest. The paper, "Bye Buy Canada: Social Procurement under an Inclusive Trade Agenda," received an honourable mention for best paper.

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Book Chapter

I co-authored a book chapter with Stephen McBride in Canada Among Nations. The chapter, "Locked in: Canadian Trade Policy and the Declining Liberal Order," contemplates Canadian reluctance to change trade policy directions in this moment of uncertainty.

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Journal Article

I published a journal article on Canadian dairy concessions in third-gen agreements. The paper, titled "Dairy Concessions in International Trade: A discursive institutionalist analysis," is in Canadian Foreign Policy Journal.